Monday, April 27, 2026

Abigail Spanberger Took Four House Seats While Republicans Spent $100 Million on John Cornyn

John Cornyn's Senate primary just absorbed $100 million from Republican donors.

Now Arlington County GOP Chairman Matthew Hurtt says the national party spent zero of that stopping Abigail Spanberger.

What the RNC had in its accounts when those four seats went dark is a number every donor should demand they explain.

Virginia Redistricting Referendum Was a National War and Republicans Treated It Like a Local Race

Virginia's April 21 redistricting referendum was not a state ballot question.

It was a four-seat transfer of power in the U.S. House.

Democrats understood this from the start.

Abigail Spanberger's allied groups poured more than $65 million into the "yes" campaign – the most expensive ballot measure fight in Virginia history.

Republicans spent roughly $40 million in total across the RNC, state party, and outside allies.

Democrats won by 3 points.

That 3-point loss flips Virginia's congressional delegation from a 6-5 Republican advantage to a 10-1 Democratic supermajority – four seats that hand Democrats their clearest path to retaking the House in November.

Spanberger herself voted with the two-thirds of Virginians who approved a bipartisan redistricting commission in 2020 and called gerrymandering "detrimental to our democracy."

Then she signed enabling legislation to put the commission's power up for a referendum – and campaigned hard for the yes vote that stripped it away.

A Virginia judge later voided the referendum results as unconstitutional – finding the amendment process was legally defective from the start.

Democrats ran it anyway, won it anyway, and are now fighting in the Virginia Supreme Court to keep what they took.

Republicans Had $116 Million in the Bank and Still Got Outspent in Virginia

The Republican Party is not broke.

The RNC reported $116.8 million in cash on hand before the Virginia vote.

The NRCC reported $78.2 million.

Add in MAGA Inc., allied PACs, and outside conservative groups – and Republican-aligned organizations held nearly three times the cash Democrats had across all their committees.

Democrats still outspent Republicans in Virginia by more than three to one.

Committee officials steered the bulk of their anti-referendum spending through outside groups rather than hard party dollars – a deliberate choice to preserve committee funds for the midterms.

Turning Point USA had a different idea.

Andrew Kolvet – executive producer of The Charlie Kirk Show – revealed on air that Turning Point Action submitted a full proposal to train Virginia conservatives for ballot chase and GOTV work.

Nobody would write the check.

NRCC Chairman Richard Hudson told Fox News his committee "made significant investments" and that "everybody was in."

He declined to say how much.

The RNC, when pressed by The Federalist, confirmed it recruited poll workers and ran door-knocking and phone banking programs.

It did not answer how it would assess the ground game.

It did not answer whether it tried to reach the low-propensity voters who delivered the 2024 sweep.

Meanwhile, incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and groups backing him spent north of $100 million across his primary and runoff against fellow Republican Ken Paxton.

"All of these fundraising operations touting how much they raised," Hurtt told The Federalist, "but none of them spent any money in Virginia."

Republicans Built the Redistricting Playbook in 2010 and Abandoned It for the 2026 Midterms

Fifteen years ago, Republicans ran the most effective redistricting operation in modern political history.

They called it REDMAP.

It cost $30 million.

For that $30 million, Republicans targeted 107 state legislative races across 16 states, flipped 10 redistricting majorities, and kept control of the House for a full decade – winning a 33-seat margin in 2012 despite losing the national popular vote by more than a million ballots.

The lesson was obvious: in redistricting battles, the side that shows up wins.

Republicans showed up in 2010.

They didn't show up in Virginia in 2026.

Kolvet put the failure plainly on The Charlie Kirk Show: "You can say, 'Oh, we're keeping our powder dry for the midterms,' but you just lost four house seats."

The Virginia Supreme Court is now the last line of defense – four constitutional challenges to the amendment are working through the courts, with party officials hoping to escalate at least one to the U.S. Supreme Court.

But courts cannot rescue donors from their own decisions.

Republicans built a $30 million playbook that controlled the House for a decade.

This time they had nearly 27 times that sitting in combined war chests – and chose a Texas Senate primary instead.

Sources:

  • M.D. Kittle, "National Republicans Dodge Questions About VA Ground Game As Locals Allege 'None Of Them Spent Any Money,'" The Federalist, April 23, 2026.
  • "Inside The RNC's Push To Stop Virginia Redistricting — And Why It Still Fell Short," Daily Caller, April 22, 2026.
  • Joe Gruters, RNC Chairman statement, April 22, 2026.
  • Andrew Kolvet, The Charlie Kirk Show, April 23, 2026.
  • Richard Hudson, NRCC Chairman, Fox News interview, April 23, 2026.

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