Republicans only need to flip one seat to take back the Senate from the Democrats this fall.
The outlook is grim for Democrats.
And now more bad news out of this key swing state has Chuck Schumer in panic mode.
According to most political experts and pundits, whichever Party wins the open Senate seat in Pennsylvania will control the Upper Chamber next year.
Right now, the seat is held by retiring anti-Trump RINO Pat Toomey, which makes Democrats view the seat as the best chance to go on the offensive and flip a GOP-held seat.
But the news out of Pennsylvania paints a dire outlook for Chuck Schumer’s chances of hanging on to power, as far more Democrats are switching to Republicans than members of the GOP are reregistering as Democrats.
Even though Democrats have always outnumbered Republicans in Pennsylvania, they now hold their slimmest registration lead since 2005.
Nowhere is the Republican advance in voter registration more evident than in Pennsylvania, where so far this year Republicans have converted four Democrats for every Republican who has switched to the Democratic Party, according to data published by Pennsylvania’s Department of State. That’s on track to be the highest conversion rate in at least a decade and well above 2016, when Republicans took the White House, House of Representatives and Senate.
“This is bad news for the Democrats,” said Kevan Yenerall, a political scientist at Clarion University in Clarion, Pennsylvania. While registered Democrats still outnumber registered Republicans by more than half a million in Pennsylvania – 4 million Democrats to 3.4 million Republicans as of March 28 – the long-held Democratic advantage continues to narrow and is on pace to be the smallest in a general election since 2005.
Political experts view Pennsylvania as the key quintessential swing state.
With his victory in 2016, Donald Trump was the first Republican to win Pennsylvania since 1988.
In 2020, Joe Biden narrowly won the highly-contested state.
That’s why the high number of Democrats switching over to the GOP will make flipping the seat even harder for the Democrats this fall.
Lieutenant Governor Gary Fetterman is the most likely candidate for the Democrats.
A Bernie Sanders-style socialist, Fetterman takes the most-extreme positions when it comes to eliminating the legislative filibuster and social issues.
Soft-on-crime, pro-open border politicians like Fetterman are driving the traditional working-class Democrats to the GOP.
And that could make Pennsylvania out of reach for Democrats in November.
Political Animal News will keep you up-to-date on any new developments in this ongoing story.