Democrats have put all their chips on Kamala Harris and it’s causing serious problems for Chuck Schumer.
His problems are piling so high that his job is now on the line.
And Chuck Schumer just received devastating news that forced him to call for a retreat.
Polls from top Senate race raises a huge red flag for Democrats
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is hanging onto a paper thin 51-49 seat majority in the Senate.
Republicans are about guaranteed to flip West Virginia’s Senate seat with the incumbent, Senator Joe Manchin (I-WV), announcing his retirement.
And the best chances Democrats have at picking up any new seats happen to be in the hard-to-reach states of Florida and Texas.
So Chuck Schumer cannot afford losing a single Democrat seat in the Senate if he wants to remain in control, especially if Kamala Harris wins the Presidency.
Most political experts are currently focusing on the Senate race in Montana where incumbent Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) is facing the greatest challenge in his political career.
If Tester ends up losing his seat, Republicans would likely pick up a 51-seat majority in the Senate, effectively giving them full control.
Tim Sheehy, the Republican challenging Tester for his seat, is already facing a barrage of attack ads from Democrats all over the country.
Democrats have already fronted $130 million in ads in Montana alone, including ad reservations for the later months of the election.
But new polling data is proving that they are shoveling money into the shredder because their ads don’t appear to be helping at all.
According to a recent AARP poll, Sheehy leads Tester by an eight point margin, showing Sheehy at 49% compared to Tester’s 41%.
2024 Montana Senate GE:
Tim Sheehy (R) 51% (+7)
Jon Tester (D-Inc) 44%
Sid Daoud (L) 2%
Michael Downey (G) 1%.@POStrategies/@MTGOP Internal Poll, 500 LV, 8/18-20https://t.co/3OqEeKkDaC
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 25, 2024
When minor parties are not included, Sheehy leads with 51% to Tester’s 46%.
2024 Montana Senate GE:
Tim Sheehy (R) 51% (+6)
Jon Tester (D-Inc) 45%.@AmericanPulseUS / NonStop Local, 538 RV, 8/10-12https://t.co/FeTCYjCSZk
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 14, 2024
Jon Tester’s ‘Kamala Harris problem’
When Democrat’s handed away the nomination that President Joe Biden had won, it provided a second wind to the Democrat Party.
But Democrats running in red states, particularly incumbents, are terrified of the cost of sharing a ballot with her.
Tester has already refused to endorse Kamala Harris for President, and even declined to attend the Democratic National Convention.
“Trump is running ahead of Sheehy with almost every age and partisan group, but Tester is not over-performing Harris by enough to overcome the large gap at the top of the ticket,” a memo from AARP read.
The memo also warned that “Tester and Harris have both nearly maxed out their vote share among Democrats.”
The last slate of polling data in Montana has only grown more grim for Jon Tester, more often than not showing that he is falling behind Sheehy.
“Even in the 2020 Senate race, which Steve [Daines] won by double digits, we never saw numbers as strong as we are seeing now from Tim Sheehy,” National Republican Senate Committee Executive Director Jason Thielman explained in a recent interview with Axios.
According to the polling average at RealClearPolitics, Sheehy has already locked in a 5.2% lead over Tester.
And in 2020, the year Joe Biden took the White House, Trump effortlessly carried Montana by 16 points.
Tester has spent the last year attempting to show distance between him and the national Democrats, but it appears that his once-successful battle plan no longer works.
“I would certainly say that Jon Tester is the most vulnerable Democrat out there in the country,” a consultant for the Montana GOP, Chuck Denowh, stated to Deseret News. “His strategy is to distance himself, and pretend to be something that he hasn’t been for the last six years, but I think the voters here get it.”
Chuck Schumer is feeling the fragility of his job as Majority Leader, and he is facing a steep, uphill fight in order to maintain his position in the United States Senate after the election.