Many are assuming Joe Biden is going to win in a landslide against Donald Trump in just a few weeks.
But writing off Trump is a mistake, especially with so many swing states up in the air for grabs.
And 2016 might be repeating itself after Donald Trump took a lead in a huge poll.
Historically, Florida has been a must win state for anyone looking to take the White House.
The political party that wins Florida in the general election has installed their Presidential nominee every election since 1996.
It’s become a must-win for Republicans as of late, with its 29 Electoral College votes that are crucial to combat the Democrats’ automatic wins in California and New York.
So many conservatives have been growing fearful of the lead that Joe Biden has had in the polls in Florida over the past several months.
But a new poll from Insider Advantage is showing President Trump up by three points in Florida over former Vice President Joe Biden.
Trump 46% (+3)
Jorgensen 1%@InsiderAdv, LV, 10/6-7
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 9, 2020
The most recent polls showing Trump up in Florida, Georgia, and Arizona are so critical for a couple of reasons.
First, it’s not possible for Joe Biden to be carrying a 12-15 point lead nationally and be down three points in Florida.
That math simply doesn’t add up.
Secondly, 2020 seems like it’s on a path for a repeat of 2016.
Back in 2016, all the national polls had Hillary Clinton up big. But the major swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and North Carolina that were all supposed to go blue, ended up going red.
The reason for this is that often the national polls are both intentionally and unintentionally biased towards Democrat candidates.
As Political Animal News reported previously, pollsters have gone out of their way to omit conservative voters who are likely to vote for Trump.
And studies have shown conservatives are less likely to answer polls about who they are going to vote for.
The moral of 2016 is that you can’t count your chickens before they hatch.
Joe Biden might be doing just that as his campaign takes the foot off the gas pedal ahead of November 3.
Political Animal News will keep you up-to-date on any developments to this ongoing story.