The media wants you to believe the tide is shifting in favor of Kamala Harris.
They are trying to sew a narrative that she got a major boost following the debate.
But Kamala Harris looked on in terror as this bad news devastated her campaign.
Bad polling news for Kamala Harris’ campaign in the wake of the debate media hype
Democrats have touted Harris’ lead over Trump in several national polls.
But the reality is, with the Electoral College, polling advantage doesn’t mean much at all.
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten ran an analysis of current polling data.
It’s bad news for the Harris campaign.
Enten described her poll numbers as being “in the danger zone.”
Leading up to the debate, Harris had a very low bar to exceed following Joe Biden’s disastrous performance that led to the Democrat being forced out of the race and replaced with Harris.
Harris tried to take a victory lap claiming to have won the debate when an ABC News/Ipsos poll showed most viewers thought she was the debate winner.
But the impact of the debate on the Presidential race was negligible.
Harris only received a 1% bump in the polls following the debate.
Enten noted that Harris’ current lead in national polls of 2.5% gives her about a 50% chance of winning the Electoral College in November.
“Okay, so basically, you note that 2.5-point lead nationally here, right? Okay, Harris’ chances if she wins the popular vote by two to three points, the chance she wins the electoral college is only 53%. The bottom line is … you have to get all the way north to about three to four points for Harris to have a clear, clear, clear chance,” Enten reported. “The majority, the clear majority chance of winning the electoral college. If she only wins by less than two, look at that, only a 23% chance of winning … Harris is right now in that danger zone where, basically, about half the time, given that popular vote margin nationally, she would win.”
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris race locked up tight in battleground states
According to RealClearPolitics, Harris only leads by 1.7% nationally, and her advantage in seven key battleground states is a negligible 0.2%.
“Basically, at this hour, we’re right in that sort of weird middle zone where we honestly don’t know what‘s going to happen based upon the popular vote,” Enten said. “And that is why those national polls that show Kamala Harris ahead, at this point, really don’t matter that much.”
The current state of the race is about as close as it can get.
Enten noted that if Trump is able to boost his current polling by just 1 point, that it will likely lead to an Electoral College victory this November.
Even according to the same ABC News/Ipsos that showed Harris winning the debate, voters trust Trump more to handle several key issues facing America.
Trump leads Harris by 7 points on the economy and inflation, and by 10 points on handling the border and immigration.
The Trump campaign will need to highlight these issues as voters head to the polls.
It looks like this election is going to come right down to the wire.
